An invest has formed over the Main Development Region (MDR), located in the deep tropics of the North Atlantic. With a high chance of development according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the invest in the form of a broad tropical wave is likely to form into a tropical cycloneRead More →
An area of interest, designated as Invest 91L is located over Cuba remains disorganized currently with a moderate chance to become a brief Tropical Storm when it enters the Gulf of Mexico over the next day or two. As of 8:00 pm EDT, the invest has around a 40% (medium)Read More →
Tropical Storm Cristina has formed in the East Pacific basin within the past couple days and is likely to become a hurricane as early as tomorrow morning as it moves generally Northwestward. As of 9:00 pm MDT (0300 UTC), Cristina is located around 16.4N, 108.6W which is well South-Southeast ofRead More →
Tropical Storm Nuri (PAGASA name Butchoy) has formed in the South China Sea and is likely to strike China within the next few days as a weak Tropical Storm. As of the latest advisory from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Nuri is currently a Tropical Depression equivalent with 1-minuteRead More →
Tropical Storm 01B (Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN per the Indian Meteorological Department), currently in the Southern half of the Bay of Bengal in the North Indian Ocean basin, is likely to produce a potentially catastrophic situation for the country of Bangladesh in the next few days. According to the Joint TyphoonRead More →
Following the demise of the once powerful Cyclone Harold, we have a potentially dangerous outbreak of severe weather on the charts today, verified by a Moderate (MDT) risk on the Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Day 1 Convective Outlook, centered in the Southeastern US. Categorial Outlook There is an overall MDTRead More →
The tropics have awakened from their long slumber. Cyclones Irondro and Harold have formed in the South Indian and Pacific Oceans, respectively, ending a drought lasting almost 3 weeks. Also of note, an extratropical cyclone could present a small chance of becoming of Subtropical nature despite a lack of recognitionRead More →
The tropics may be quiet aside from a single invest, but the wake of severe weather will certainly be coming back soon. A potentially dangerous event with thunderstorms will occur today, accompanied by a Slight (SLGT) risk according to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Another, possibly more significant, event isRead More →
Today we commemorate the 15th anniversary of Cyclone Percy and it’s Category 5-equivalent peak intensity in the South Pacific ocean basin on this day, March 2nd. While not very damaging compared to other cyclones (though it was still very devastating for the islands of Swains, Tokelau and Cook) nor deadly,Read More →
The Southern Hemisphere, while weak, has been active to begin the decade. This has not changed recently as we have two notable tropical systems active in Invest 99P and Cyclone Wasi in the Australian region and South Pacific basin, respectively. Invest 99P Invest 99P/07U is moving slowly westward in theRead More →
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