The tropics may be quiet aside from a single invest, but the wake of severe weather will certainly be coming back soon. A potentially dangerous event with thunderstorms will occur today, accompanied by a Slight (SLGT) risk according to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). Another, possibly more significant, event is
Today we commemorate the 15th anniversary of Cyclone Percy and it’s Category 5-equivalent peak intensity in the South Pacific ocean basin on this day, March 2nd. While not very damaging compared to other cyclones (though it was still very devastating for the islands of Swains, Tokelau and Cook) nor deadly,
The Southern Hemisphere, while weak, has been active to begin the decade. This has not changed recently as we have two notable tropical systems active in Invest 99P and Cyclone Wasi in the Australian region and South Pacific basin, respectively. Invest 99P Invest 99P/07U is moving slowly westward in the
The decade is not done yet in the tropics as the Western Pacific has produced another typhoon, this time in the form of Phanfone (also named Ursula per PAGASA). Phanfone, now a Category 2 typhoon (Category 3 per Force Thirteen’s estimates), had made it’s initial landfall in the Central Philippines
Luke Katz Where Will it Go? Typhoon Kammuri has entered a zone of less wind shear and a more conducive environment during the past 24 hours, which could lead to rapid intensification. The ECMWF and HWRF weather models have been suggesting rapid intensification for the past few days. The only
The Western North Pacific continues in a period of heightened activity today as Typhoon Fengshen and Tropical Storm Kalmaegi persist over the region. Fengshen has rapidly intensified and is now a Category 3 on the Saffir-Simspon Scale as it churns over the open waters of the Western North Pacific. Kalmaegi
Tropical Storm Kalmeagi (Named Ramon by PAGASA) has formed near the Philippines today and will likely remain below Typhoon intensity, at least within the current forecast window. It is expected to head North before transitioning to a Westward motion later this week, likely to miss a direct landfall in Luzon.
A mere two days after Typhoon Hagibis became yet another storm to affect Japan, a system now known as Potential Tropical Cyclone Seventeen-E formed yesterday and has neared the Mexican Coastline. The possibility does still exist for the system to become a fully tropical cyclone though chances have decreased from