Tropical Cyclone Sarai » Text Products

TROPICAL STORM 03F/04P (SARAI)
PUBLIC ADVISORY #12
FORCE THIRTEEN SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE
1930 UTC MON DEC 30 2019

...SARAI CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR 21.1 S 175.9 W...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50MPH...80KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987MB
MOVEMENT...MPH

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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Please visit Tonga Meteorological Servicefor the latest warnings.
DISCUSSION
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Tropical Cyclone SARAI has weakened further and is located just south of Tonga and its continuing to move eastwards, with increasing speed as it weakens. It is likely that the system continues east-southeastwards generally and could also move slightly towards the northeast due to increased trade flow and continued westerlies. Associated convective activity continues to be sheared from the center of the system. Wind shear is currently high at 35KTS and likely to remain at 25-35KTS as it moves generally east-southeastwards. Sea surface temperatures are overall still favorable for tropical development at 27C and likely to increase a little to 28C as it changes its direction slightly towards the norrheast. Global dynamical models suggests that SARAI is likely to move generally east-southeastwards generally, with some possibly northeastwards, and weakening is ensued, despite higher sea surface temperatures, owing to unfavorable wind shear values.

Refer to official forecasts issued by Fiji Meteorological Service .

THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN. NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED.

$$
Forecaster Knack

OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST

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