YOUR SURNAME: Knack
YOUR CITY: Singapore
YOUR STATE: singapore
TIME (e.g. 1800 UTC SAT FEB 22 2020): 1840 UTC MON JAN 18 2021
ADVISORY HEADLINE: KIMI WEAKENS INTO A REMNANT LOW


CYCLONE NATURE (e.g. TROPICAL/SUBTROPICAL): TROPICAL
CYCLONE CATEGORY (e.g. DEPRESSION/STORM/CYCLONE): STORM
CYCLONE NUMBER (e.g. 01/03): 11
ADVISORY NUMBER: 5
LATITUDE (without N/S): 17.7
LATITUDE REFERENCE (N/S): S
LONGITUDE (without W/E): 147.4
LONGITUDE REFERENCE (W/E): E
WINDSPEED (MPH): 40
PRESSURE (MB): 1001


NEXT ADVISORY TIME (e.g. SEP 16 2021, 1800 UTC)THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN, NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED.

• STORM FLOATER •

   (KIMI)
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

    
......
    
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
-----------------------------------
LOCATION...NEAR    ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
    
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------
NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------
Tropical cyclone Kimi has displayed a weakening trend over the past 6 to 12
hours, with deep convection becoming confined exclusively to the southern side
of the centre and becoming more removed from the centre. The system has now been
reclassified as a tropical low. Centre fix is based on animated IR imagery,
surface observations and a 1522 UTC AMSR2 pass. Position is estimated as good. 

Dvorak DT based on shear pattern with centre within 0.25 deg of cold overcast
giving DT 2.5. MET is 2.0 with PAT at 2.0. FT based on PT. Intensity is still
set at 35 knots [10-min mean] with a small patch of gales persisting in the SW
quadrant. 

The environment rapidly became less favourable over the past 6 to 12 hours, with
vertical wind shear becoming west-northwesterly and increasing to about 20 knots
associated with the approach of an upper level trough to the south of the
system, and this is forecast to persist. Given its very small size, the system
responded rapidly to this environmental change, with analysis indicating the mid
to upper levels of the vortex have now weakened and decoupled from the low level
circulation.   

With the recent structure changes and only a shallow vortex remaining, the
system has become slow-moving well off the coast over the past 6 hours.
Subsequent movement of a this shallower and weaker system is likely to be back
towards the north-northwest due to low level ridging building along the central
Queensland coast. 
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
Bureau of Meteorology
    

    
$$
Forecaster 
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •

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