YOUR SURNAME: Knack
YOUR CITY: singapore
YOUR STATE: singapore
TIME (e.g. 1800 UTC SAT FEB 22 2020): 0740 UTC SAT JAN 23 2021
ADVISORY HEADLINE: ELOISE TRAVERSING INLAND OVER MOZAMBIQUE


CYCLONE NATURE (e.g. TROPICAL/SUBTROPICAL): TROPICAL
CYCLONE CATEGORY (e.g. DEPRESSION/STORM/CYCLONE): CYCLONE
CYCLONE NUMBER (e.g. 01/03): 12
ADVISORY NUMBER: 16
LATITUDE (without N/S): 20.4
LATITUDE REFERENCE (N/S): S
LONGITUDE (without W/E): 34.0
LONGITUDE REFERENCE (W/E): E
WINDSPEED (MPH): 90
PRESSURE (MB): 976


NEXT ADVISORY TIME (e.g. SEP 16 2021, 1800 UTC)

• STORM FLOATER •

  S (ELOISE)
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

    
......
    
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
-----------------------------------
LOCATION...NEAR    ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
    
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------


Please refer to Meteo Madagascar and Mozambique Meteorological Services for up to date latest warnings.
DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------
THE EYE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ELOISE MADE LANDFALL AROUND 01Z ON THE
COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE ABOUT 30 KM SOUTH OF BEIRA AND OF THE PUNGWE
RIVER ESTUARY, IN THE BAY OF SOFALA, WITH WINDS ESTIMATED AT 80 KT
AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE CLOSE TO 967 HPA. THE SYNOPTIC STATION OF
BEIRA, CLOSE TO THE NORTHERN EYEWALL, MEASURED A NORTHEASTERLY GUST
OF 130 KM/H AT 01Z.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK MOVING
ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHEAST
OF MADAGASCAR. FROM MONDAY, THE REMNANTS OF ELOISE SHOULD DRIFT
WESTWARD, UNDER THE ACTION OF A NEW RIDGE ARRIVING FROM THE WEST.
ELOISE WILL NOW GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER LAND. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS NEAR THE CENTER BEFORE
COLLAPSING IN THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING IN FAVOR OF MORE SPORADIC
RAINSTORM ACTIVITY FARTHER AWAY FROM THE RESIDUAL CENTER.
IN TERMS OF IMPACTS, ELOISE IS ABOUT TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE BEIRA REGION AND WILL AFFECT MAINLY BY A RISK OF
HEAVY RAINS SEVERAL SOUTHERN AFRICAN COUNTRIES DURING THE NEXT 3
DAYS:
- WINDS GUSTING TO 100/120 KM/H WILL REACH THE REGIONS IN THE LANDS
LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTH OF THE TRACK. ON SUNDAY, STRONG WIND GUSTS OF
UP TO 90-100 KM/H MAY ACCOMPANY THE RAINSTORM EPISODES DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATION, THUS MAINLY AFFECTING NORTHERN
SOUTH AFRICA.
- DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS IN THE
ORDER OF 50 TO 100 MM IS EXPECTED AT THE LEVEL OF THE IMPACT ZONE.
THE HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ELOISE WILL ALSO REACH THE INTERIOR
OF THE COUNTRY: RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 100 TO 150 MM IN 24 HOURS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK AS WELL AS ON THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS NEAR THE
BORDER ZONE BETWEEN MOZAMBIQUE AND ZIMBABWE. ON SUNDAY, THE ELOISE
RAINS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN ZIMBABWE, NORTHERN SOUTH AFRICA AND
EASTERN BOTSWANA, WITH CUMULATIVE RAINFALL OF AROUND 50 TO 100 MM/24H
LOCALLY 150 MM. MEANWHILE, RAINS OF THE SAME MAGNITUDE WILL ALSO
SPREAD SOUTHWARDS OVER SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE AND SWAZILAND.
THE INHABITANTS OF MOZAMBIQUE AND OF THE COUNTRIES CONCERNED BY THE
RISK OF HEAVY RAINS IN THE FOLLOWING DAYS ARE INVITED TO FOLLOW THE
INSTRUCTIONS OF THE LOCAL AUTHORITIES.=
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
MeteoFrance La Reunion
    

    
$$
Forecaster 
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •
• OFFICIAL MÉTÉOFRANCE FORECAST •

©2020 Force Thirteen • Cyclone Tracker • Text Products