176. Tropical Cyclone Herold » Text Products

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TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (HEROLD)
***FINAL BULLETIN***
PUBLIC ADVISORY #12
FORCE THIRTEEN SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE
1910 UTC TUE MAR 17 2020

...HEROLD LOSING ITS GRIP AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT LEAVES THE MASCARENE ISLAND GROUP...

SUMMARY OF 1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------
LOCATION...NEAR 21.0 S 63.5 E...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80MPH...130KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983MB

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------
...CLASS 4 CYCLONE WARNING...
*Rodrigues

Please visit Mauritius Meteorological Service for latest warnings in Rodrigues.
DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------
Tropical Cyclone Herold continues southwest of Rodrigues, moving southeast. This system is currently producing convection mostly to the southern portion of the center of the system, as it succumbs to high wind shear. Latest microwave pass indicated that this system have a displaced convection to the south. Wind shear is increasing at 30KTS and expected to increase increase even further. Sea surface temperatures remains favorable as this system moves southeast at 27C but expected to drop even further to below favorable thresholds by Mar 20. Models are indicating that this system is expected to move southeast away from Rodrigues, where warnings are still in effect for Rodrigues. Global models forecast this system to weaken now. MétéoFrance indicates that this system is likely to weaken as well.

LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
MétéoFrance La Réunion
Mauritius Meteorological Service

THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN, NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED.

$$
Forecaster Knack

OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST

MÉTÉOFRANCE FORECAST

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