Tropical Disturbance 02F » Text Products

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 02F
PUBLIC ADVISORY #6
FORCE THIRTEEN SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE
0720 UTC SUN DEC 22 2019

...DISTURBANCE 02F CONTINUES SOUTHEAST, TIME HAS RUN OUT FOR STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR 18.0 S 166.1 W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30MPH...50KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001MB
MOVEMENT...SOUTHEAST AT 9MPH

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT
DISCUSSION
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Tropical Disturbance 02F (Invest 97P) continues to flare its convection on the eastern semicircle of the low level centre, although albeit weak. However, this system has ran out of time to intensify further into a Tropical Cyclone. Wind shear is currently in excess of 35KTS and is likely to increase further to over 50KTS in the next 24 hours. Sea surface temperatures remains favorable at 27C and expected to drop to 25-26C as it heads southwestward. Relative humidity is currently marginal and expected to remain marginal. Global dynamical models favor the system to move southwest and weaken further and degenerate into a trough.
Considering the above, chances of Tropical Disturbance 02F intensifying into a Tropical Cyclone is downgraded to LOW.

THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN. NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE RELEASED UNLESS THIS SYSTEM RE-DEVELOPS.

$$
Forecaster Knack

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