Tropical Storm Elsa races towards New England; Flash flooding remains threat across Mid-Atlantic, Northeast US

 [CURRENT STATUS]
Hurricane Elsa maintained strength as it emerged again into the Atlantic. As per 8 AM EDT advisory of the National Hurricane Center. Elsa was located at 40.2N 73.1W or about 90 miles (140 kilometers) Southwest of Montauk Point, NY with sustain winds of 50 mph, gusting up to 65 mph, minimum central pressure was estimated to be at 1000 millibars. The storm is currently moving Northeast at speed of 31 mph. Latest Force Thirteen fix at 8 AM EDT is in agreement with the NHC on intensity and pressure. F13 had Elsa’s location at 39.8N 73.3W.

 

[CURRENT WARNINGS]

Latest Watches/Warnings for Tropical Storm Elsa

A Tropical Storm Warning (Tropical Storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.):
• Little Egg Inlet to Sandy Hook, New Jersey
• Long Island from East Rockaway Inlet to the eastern tip along the south shore and from Port Jefferson Harbor eastward on the north shore
• New Haven, Connecticut to Merrimack River, Massachusetts including Cape Cod, Block Island, Martha’s Vineyard, and Nantucket

Due to expected heavy rainfall, millions of people are under flash flood watches from the New Jersey to Maine, including New York and Boston.

 

[OBSERVATIONS/REPORTS]

One of two vehicles hit by a large pine tree that fell across the road during strong wind bands from Tropical Storm Elsa late Wednesday afternoon in the Ortega area of Jacksonville, Florida.

Elsa made landfall on Monday 11 AM along the Gulf Coast in Taylor County, Florida. In Jacksonville, winds from Elsa caused a tree to fall on two cars during an afternoon commute, killing one person, according to Capt. Eric Prosswimmer with the Jacksonville Fire and Rescue Department. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis addressed the death. “We’re obviously very, very sad to see that,” he said. Gov. Ron DeSantis also said Elsa left “minimal impact” across the state during a Thursday news conference in Surfside.

Nine people were injured Wednesday evening in coastal Camden county, Georgia, when a tornado struck a campground for active-duty service members and military retirees. The tornado flipped over multiple RVs, throwing one of the overturned vehicles about 200 feet (61 meters) into a lake, the National Weather Service said.

 

In South Carolina, a coast guard air station crew rescued a family that became stranded on Otter Islands on Wednesday after their boat drifted off the beach due to Elsa. A man, his wife, his daughter, and three cousins were hoisted into a helicopter and taken to Charleston executive airport in good health Wednesday night, the coast guard said in a news release.

New York City subway stations were inundated by water due to heavy rainstorms ahead of Elsa. Videos posted to social media showed people wading through a flooded station in northern Manhattan, while in a downtown station water appeared to pour from the ceiling, and a station in the Bronx saw water cascading down the stairs.

Scattered power outages were being reported along Elsa’s path Thursday afternoon, with about 26,000 homes and businesses without electricity from Florida to Virginia, according to the website poweroutages.us.

Three tornadoes occurred in Florida on Wednesday afternoon, one being an EF-2 tornado. It travelled 3.65 miles and injured 17 people. An EF-1 tornado also occurred in Effingham County, Georgia that travelled about 2 miles but did not create any damage.

Here are more observations reported by NWS/NHC:
• Weather station near Gainesville, FL recorded more than 7 in (18 cm) of rain.
• Winds gusted to 71 mph in Horseshoe Beach along Florida’s Big Bend, as Elsa’s center moved ashore.
• Gusts of 55 to 60 mph were recorded at Cedar Key Wednesday morning.
• A storm surge of 2.7 feet was recorded at Cedar Key shortly after Elsa’s landfall.
• A WeatherFlow station on Pamlico Sound, NC reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) gusting to 58 mph (93 km/h).
• A NOAA buoy near the mouth of Delaware Bay measured a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h), gusting to 54 mph (87 km/h).

• Myrtle Beach International Airport, SC reported a sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h) gusting to 54 mph (87 km/h).
• A WeatherFlow station on Jekyll Island, Georgia recently reported a sustained wind of 44 mph (70 km/h) with a gust to 58 mph (93 km/h).

 

[FORECAST]

Latest Cone by the NHC

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the mid-Atlantic coast early this morning. These winds will spread northward in the warning area over the northeastern states from late this morning into the afternoon.

RAINFALL: Across northern New Jersey, Long Island, and southern and coastal New England…2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated totals up to 6 inches are possible through Friday, which could result in considerable flash and urban flooding. Isolated minor river flooding is also expected.

[SOURCES]
Three Tornadoes occurred in Florida during Tropical Storm Elsa: https://twitter.com/NWSJacksonville/status/1413285531681701888/
A tornado occurred in Georgia during Tropical Storm Elsa: https://twitter.com/NWSCharlestonSC/status/1413262132859179011

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