Typhoon Nesat and Mediterranean Cyclone Update – Tropical Weather Bulletin – October 18th, 2022

Typhoon Nesat likely peaked overnight as a Category 2 storm, and is likely to start deteriorating as it approaches Hainan in the next couple of days, weakening to a tropical storm as it passes to the south of the Chinese island. The storm will continue westwards, but is likely to stall in the Gulf of Tonkin and dissipate without ever making landfall.

To the east, Invest 91W appears to have reached tropical depression status out to sea, and is not expected to last long. Later on, another typhoon could develop at the end of the week following a similar track to Nesat.

In the Indian Ocean, an area of interest could develop into a tropical cyclone this weekend in the Bay of Bengal, and will then head towards the coast of India. The future track and intensity of this system remains very uncertain, but a severe cyclonic threat to a large part of India cannot be ruled out.

In the Mediterranean Sea, an ASCAT pass found 35mph winds over a disturbance off the western coast of Cyprus earlier today. Coupled with increasing convection over the system’s center, this system is now likely a Subtropical Depression, and is expected to last only a short time as it veers southwards and then eastwards.

Watch our full Tropical Weather Bulletin using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X-9M6Vat82w

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