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2024 Pacific Hurricane Season Animation Premieres Today (April 21, 2025)

Force Thirteen — Sun, 20 Apr 2025 20:28:16 +0000

The 2024 Pacific Hurricane Season contained a few powerful hurricanes, and the much sought after arrival of Hurricane Hone after a 5 year drought in the Central Pacific. Hurricane John also became a Category 3 major and caused severe impacts in Mexico. Relive the 2024 Pacific Hurricane Season (and Hone!) by using the link below!

Watch Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ocsFDTFd7VI

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Cyclone Dikeledi Makes landfall in Mozambique as a Category 2

Force Thirteen — Mon, 13 Jan 2025 18:51:05 +0000

Overview

Cyclone Dikeledi made landfall in the Nampula province of Mozambique at around 16:00 CAT, today, January 13, 2025 (according to observations from the Force Thirteen team) with a pressure of 975mb and a wind speed of 100mph(160km/h). It is now moving south-south-west and will start to change to a southeasterly direction at 8 AM or so La Reunion time on Tuesday, where it is likely to pass to the south of Madagascar.

Cyclone Dikeledi is forecast to make a southeasterly turn this evening, with the storm likely to stay in the Gulf of Madagascar. However, shower and thundershower activity associated with Dikeledi could produce heavy rainfall across portions of Western Madagascar.

Rainfall Accumulation Estimates

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring around 250mm of rain to areas of the Mozambique coast, whilst showers and thunderstorms associated with the storm could produce up to 350mm in areas of Western Madagascar as the storm moves southeast. As anticipated, the main hazard with the storm is rainfall, which could produce flash floods and mudslides.

Latest rainfall graphic from Force Thirteen, showing potential for 250 to 350mm of rainfall across Madagascar and Mozambique. (Yellow – 250mm, Red – 350mm.)

Stay up to date with the latest from Force Thirteen by visiting our Youtube channel, linked here!

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Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Towards Northern Madagascar

Force Thirteen — Fri, 10 Jan 2025 16:47:45 +0000

Cyclone Dikeledi is currently heading in a westerly direction towards the Northern coast/tip of Madagascar where it will drop 250mm+ of rain as it passes by.

Current Warnings

Météo Madagascar currently has heavy rain, strong wind, and heavy swell warnings in place for areas across the northwestern and northeastern parts of the coast with the heavy swell warning stretching all the way down to the western coast.

Rainfall

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring 10 inches and above to the northern coast of Madagascar and up to 6 inches or so once it reaches the northwestern coast of Mozambique.

Current Hazards:

Cyclone Dikeledi’s main hazards will be rough seas, strong winds, and heavy rainfall over the next couple of days as it continues its path over Madagascar into the Mozambique channel.

Check out our latest full update on Cyclone Dikeledi using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnMmDUT6MJ8

Current Meteo France forecast cone for Cyclone Dikeledi at time of article release.

Current forecast rainfall over portions of Madagascar as Cyclone Dikeledi progresses westward.

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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Animation Released!

Force Thirteen — Sat, 04 Jan 2025 23:26:36 +0000

After a long, record-breaking, and destructive hurricane season, the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Animation has finally arrived. The 2024 season was the second-costliest tropical cyclone season in history, due in part to extremely powerful damaging storms, like Helene, which became the third-costliest hurricane ever, Milton, one of the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic basin by both wind speed and barometric pressure. Beryl became both the earliest Category 4 and Category 5 hurricane on record, beating Dennis and Emily of 2005, respectively. Finally, Debby, albeit a much weaker storm in comparison to the previously mentioned storms, became Canada’s costliest tropical cyclone on record as it brought extreme flooding to Quebec during its extratropical phase, beating Fiona of 2022.

Watch our animation of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MM86Ghca5RQ

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Cyclone Chido Peaks as Category 4 Cyclone, Set to Approach Madagascar

Force Thirteen — Thu, 12 Dec 2024 20:21:49 +0000

Cyclone Chido peaked as a high-end category 4 earlier today at 06:00z at a position of 11 degrees South and 55 degrees East, with wind speeds of 155mph and a pressure of 928mb. As the day ends, Northeastern parts of Madagascar should be preparing for Chido to brush by the the extreme Northeastern parts of Madagascar as a weak category 3 cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. As of now (20z 12 Dec 2024,) Météo Madagascar has rough swell warnings in place for areas from Cape of Ambre to Vohemar and Mahajanga. Cyclone Chido is expected to bring around 1 to 2 inches of rain to the North Eastern parts of Madagascar over the next 4 days. In addition, Cyclone Chido’s main hazards over the next couple of days are strong winds, extreme swells and heavy rainfall.

For the latest on Cyclone Chido, see our ‘Active Cyclones’ page, and stay tuned for more updates on our Youtube channel!

Current forecasted rainfall amounts in advance of Cyclone Chido’s advance towards Madagascar, with 1-2 inches (2.5-5cm) of rainfall anticipated.

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Cyclone Hidaya Nears the Coast of Tanzania – Video Update

Force Thirteen — Fri, 03 May 2024 14:36:48 +0000

Cyclone Hidaya peaked this morning as a strong Category 1 hurricane equivalent storm, and is still holding on to a lot of its strength as it draws nearer to the coast of Tanzania. Whilst it’s still unclear exactly where landfall will occur, it’s looking more likely that it will be near Mafia Island. The storm is expected to rapidly weaken as it reaches land, and some signs of weakening are already becoming apparent. However, strong winds of over 50 miles per hour (80kph) and torrential rainfall with accumulations of up to 12 inches (300mm) are possible, causing structural damage and flash flooding. There remains the possibility, as suggested by Meteo France, that the storm will curve completely away from land, but not before producing storm conditions along coastal areas tonight and tomorrow.

Watch our full update on Cyclone Hidaya using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_QSD8gPLVD8

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Cyclone threat increasing for Madagascar and Mauritius

Force Thirteen — Mon, 25 Mar 2024 13:20:13 +0000

A tropical disturbance continues to build up off the coast of northern Madagascar, and is expected to ramp up in intensity later this week. The system is already producing large amounts of rain, and that is set to continue as the storm deepens. Forecasts call for potentially a Category 3 peak as it moves very slowly near Madagascar, before making for the Mascarene islands near the end of the week and swiping Mauritius and Réunion. Whilst confidence in the forecast is increasing, there is still a fair amount of wriggle room, especially with regards to timing, and some model scenarios still put the storm over or even to the west of Madagascar. Suffice to say, rapid intensification is likely to occur at some point, and a recurvature to the southeast is also likely later on. This is likely to put the Mascarene islands at risk of strong cyclonic winds and high rainfall.

Watch our full update on this system here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-vnejoyA4w

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Cyclone Megan Intensifies With Warnings Across Northern Australia – Video Update

Force Thirteen — Sat, 16 Mar 2024 18:55:29 +0000

Cyclone Megan was named by the Bureau of Meteorology earlier today, and is continuing to strengthen as it crosses the Gulf of Carpentaria. With a landfall expected early Monday morning, hurricane force winds are possible with large amounts of rain for the NT coast of the Gulf. Elsewhere, Tropical Depression 18S continues to struggle to the northwest of Karratha, but computer models are still hopeful with regards strengthening. Steering remains weak, but the storm is expected to move westwards slowly out to sea. Another cyclone could form near Fiji this weekend, but chances remain low.

Watch our full update on Megan and the rest of the tropics by using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0P_sekDsrY

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Cyclone Eleanor Forecast to Rapidly Intensify as it Approaches Mauritius (Video Update)

Force Thirteen — Tue, 20 Feb 2024 18:42:17 +0000

Cyclone Eleanor is posed to threaten Mauritius this week, as the storm expected to intensify as it nears the island nation later this week. Eleanor will likely make a close pass to Mauritius. Catch the latest on Cyclone Eleanor with a video update from our team here:

Watch Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XYR9ynD6CU

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2023 Pacific Typhoon Season Animation Released

Force Thirteen — Sat, 03 Feb 2024 23:49:43 +0000

The 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season was another below-average season, namely the fourth-consecutive season to have a below average number of storms despite the El Niño. Although it still saw many storms dealing a lot of damage to countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, China and more. Within the 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season, notable and well-known storms were Mawar (Betty), Doksuri (Egay), Saola (Goring) and Bolaven. Super Typhoon Doksuri caused devastating damage to affected countries, adding up to $15.5 billion in damages and caused 139 casualties, which made it the deadliest and costliest storm of the season.

Replay all of the storms with our 2023 West Pacific Typhoon Season Animation here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzp_u6Kl3d0

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