In a surprising turn of events, Typhoon Surigae has strengthened much faster than anticipated as it jumped 2 category’s in 12 hours to become the first category 4 typhoon of the 2021 Northern Hemisphere season. Further strengthening is anticipated but there is a large spread in models in what courseRead More →

Formation   In mid-December, after a country-wide cold wave, the NCEP-Global Forecast System (GFS) became increasingly aggressive towards the formation of an equator facing trough off of the polar vortex in Siberia. The forecast called for the trough moving southwest and turning poleward, creating a massive cooldown across China rightRead More →

Two low-pressure areas are now being monitored by the Philippines’ meteorological agency, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), and models are hinting for a rainy week ahead to the first day of the year 2021. According to PAGASA, the first low-pressure area is seen at 14.8 degreesRead More →