Tropical Depression Ivette » Text Products





UNIQUE IDENTIFIER: K
TIME (e.g. 1800 UTC SAT FEB 22 2020): 1500 UTC TUE AUG 16 2022
ADVISORY HEADLINE: IVETTE CONTINUES TO SURVIVE


INPUT INTERP ATCF: ep102022 IVETTE 20220816 1500 17.2 -114.45 E TD 30.0 1006.0 0.96 270.0/span>
ADVISORY NUMBER: 10


NEXT ADVISORY TIME (e.g. SEP 16 2021, 1800 UTC)AUG 16 2022, 2100 UTC

Please allow time for floater to build.

• STORM FLOATER •

  E ()
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

 
......
 
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
-----------------------------------
LOCATION...NEAR    
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------
Some limited thunderstorm activity has recently developed 
around the periphery of Ivette's circulation, but so far 
it has lacked organization as strong easterly shear 
continues to affect the cyclone. If the convection does 
not gain organization soon, Ivette will likely become a 
remnant low as early as this afternoon. The initial 
intensity has been held at a possibly generous 30 kt, 
which is based on a recent Dvorak current intensity number 
of T2.0 from TAFB. 

Strong easterly shear of about 25 kt and a relatively dry 
atmosphere are expected to lead to weakening over the next 
couple of days. Assuming the current thunderstorm activity 
does not become organized, Ivette should become post-
tropical later today. The remnant low is forecast to open 
up into a trough in 3 to 4 days. 

Ivette remains within an area of weak steering flow and it 
has only drifted west-southwestward over the past several 
hours. The global model guidance suggests that the cyclone 
should begin to move westward or west-northwestward within 
the next day or so as the low-level flow becomes better 
defined to the north of the system. The new NHC track 
forecast is along the southern side of the guidance 
envelope, and is in best agreement with the HFIP corrected 
consensus aid. 

LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
 

 
$$
Forecaster 

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