Please allow time for floater to build.
• STORM FLOATER •
A () PUBLIC ADVISORY # FORCE THIRTEEN , ...... ...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF INFORMATION ----------------------------------- LOCATION...NEAR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB WATCHES AND WARNINGS ----------------------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION ----------------------------------- THE DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA MOVED NEARLY WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 10 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 13TH AUGUST, 2022, OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 22.1ON AND LONGITUDE 63.6OE, ABOUT 560 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NALIYA (GUJARAT), 630 KM WEST OF PORBANDAR (GUJARAT), 470 KM SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI (PAKISTAN) AND 460 KM SOUTHEAST OF CHAHBAHAR (IRAN). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING NEXT 06 HOURS. THEREAFTER, THE REMNANT WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO RECURVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN FURTHER GRADUALLY. AS PER INSAT 3D IMAGERY AT 0300 UTC, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS CHARACTERISED AS T 1.5. THE CLOUD MASS HAS FURTHER SHEARED TO THE WEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND OMAN. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 930C. THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER NORTHWEST & ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND ALONG & OFF GUJARAT, PAKISTAN & OMAN COASTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 HPA. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS AROUND 28-29OC OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA. LOW LEVEL VORTICITY IS THE SAME DURING PAST 6 HOURS IS AROUND 150 X10-6 S-1 TO THE SOUTH OF SYSTEM CENTRE. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS REDUCED AND IS AROUND 10 X10-5 S-1 TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS AROUND 20X10-5 S-1 TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE AND ANOTHER ZONE OF 10X10-5 S-1 TO THE NORTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. WIND SHEAR IS HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) OVER THE SYSTEM AREA AND IS LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGH OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA. IN VIEW OF CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, IT IS INFERRED THAT THE DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NEARLY WESTWARDS FOR SOMETIME AND THEN NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING NEXT 06 HOURS. THEREAFTER, THE REMNANT WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO RECURVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY FURTHER.
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW Indian Meteorological Department $$ Forecaster
