Please allow time for floater to build.
• STORM FLOATER •
S ()
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN ,
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SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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DISCUSSION ----------------------------------- DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, SATELLITE IMAGES HAVE INCREASINGLY SHOWN THE EFFECTS OF WIND SHEAR ON IMAN, WITH THE PRESENCE OF A CIRRUS ARC AS WELL AS THE WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION WHICH IS EXPELLED FAR TO THE SOUTH-EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AN ASCAT PASS ALSO SHOWED A LOWER CIRCULATION BECOMING LESS DEFINED AND MORE ELONGATED, CONFIRMING THE POST-TROPICAL STATUS OF IMAN. THE SYSTEM KEEPS HEADING ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AHEAD OF THE TROUGH FURTHER SOUTH THAT SHOULD CAPTURE IMAN. FROM TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY, IMAN WILL BE SLOWED DOWN AND THEN BLOCKED BY THE ARRIVAL OF A NEW HIGH PRESSURE AREA FROM THE WEST, LEAVING IT AT THE STAGE OF RESIDUAL LOW BY THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF 40KT AT 0600Z SHOULD BE MAINTAINED FOR THE DAY THANKS TO THE BAROCLINIC INTERACTION PROCESSES. THEN, THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN. IMAN NO LONGER POSES A THREAT TO INHABITED LANDS.=
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW MeteoFrance La Reunion $$ Forecaster
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •
• METROFRANCE FORECAST •
