Please allow time for floater to build.
• STORM FLOATER •
W () PUBLIC ADVISORY # FORCE THIRTEEN , ...... SUMMARY OF INFORMATION ----------------------------------- LOCATION...NEAR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB WATCHES AND WARNINGS ----------------------------------- An Orange Typhoon Warning is in effect for: * The northwestern coast of Zhejiang (Yuyao and Shengzhou City, Shengsi, Dinghai, Ninghai, Xiangshan and Daishan County, Haishun, Zhenhai, Beilun and Dinghai District) A Gale Advisory is in effect for: * The entire Ryukyu Islands chain, the eastern coast of Japan from Fukuoka to Kagoshima, and Daitojima, Japan A Yellow Typhoon Warning is in effect for: * The southwestern coast of Jiangsu * The rest of northwestern coast of Zhejiang (Jiashan County, Putuo, Keqiao, Pinghu and Ruiuan City, Yuencheng District) * The southwestern portion of Zhejiang (Sanmen, Yongjia, Pingyan and Cangnan County, Linhai, Wenling, Wenzhou and Yueqing City, Jiaojiang, Luqiao and Dongtou District) A Blue Typhoon Warning is in effect for: * The northwestern coast of Jiangsu * The central portion of Zhejiang (Jiaxing, Tongxiang, Haining and Dongyang City, Haiyan, Xinchang, Tiantai, Xianju, Jinyun, Qintang, Wencheng and Taishun County, Yuhang, Xiaoshan and Huangyan District) * The northwestern coast of Fujian (Fuding, Fu'an and Ningde City, Xiapu, Luoyuan and Lianjiang County, Xiuyu District) For storm information specific to your area in Japan, please monitor products issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency. For storm information specific to your area outside of Japan, please monitor products issued by your local meteorological service.
DISCUSSION FROM RSMC ----------------------------------- TY HINNAMNOR IS LOCATED AT 27.7N, 124.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID- LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS. THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LAND, LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW Japan Meteorological Agency $$ Forecaster
