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As of March 16th 2026 at 15:46 UTC
Invest 96P was located near 13.4°S, 157.4°E, or about 324 miles (522 km) south-southwest of Honiara, Solomon Islands. 96P has maximum sustained winds of 25 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1003 millibars.
Invest 97P was located near 21.3°S, 175.6°W, or about 28 miles (45 km) west-southwest of Tonga. 97P has maximum sustained winds of 15 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1008 millibars.
Let’s look at the seasons where the first Atlantic cyclone developed on or after June 24. Starting with 2002 (July 14), which was a near average season. Then 2004 (July 31) was an extremely destructive, above-average season, 2010 (June 25) and 2011 (June 28) were back-to-back similarly well-above-average seasons, and 2014 was an unusually below-average season. Anything can still happen!
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
The only reason Andrea was considered a tropical system is because of the convection bursts that it’s been having…
000 WTNT41 KNHC 241411 TCDAT1
Tropical Storm Andrea Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025 1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025
… Even though deep convection is now decreasing, due to the persistent convection overnight and pulsing convection over the past 36 hours, the system has met the criteria of being classified as a tropical storm, albeit a marginal one, making Tropical Storm Andrea the first Atlantic storm of the year. …
Now that I think about it, Andrea doesn’t look so good on satellite and could dissipate literally any moment now I think.
WorldwideCycloneTracking
8 months ago
90L might just be a Tropical Depression…
Chaban Jad
8 months ago
Invest 90L may not become a tropical/subtropical depression…
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
I got GameMaker, should I make a tropical cyclone game of some sort with the tool?
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
Who here has noticed that (most, if not) every Atlantic disturbance marked by the NHC has not been in the MDR, Caribbean, nor Gulf of Mexico/America?
Hurricane
8 months ago
If you want entertainment, watch the current GFS WPAC run. In all ranges, it wants 6 storms!
Hurricane
8 months ago
If the next EPAC disturbance forms before July 1st, it will not only be the earliest F storm, but also will tie the record for most June EPAC storms in a season! (2018 had 6 but the last one was only named on July 1)
-4 mb means that it is so hot that there is no air per cubic mile.
F0rce-23/fan
8 months ago
I HAD 2 DIFFERENT TORNADO WARNINGS TODAY, precisely 9:25 pm, the sirens blaired, though that was the second tornado, or funnel. The first one was at 5:30 pm today.
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
RECON SAYS 953.8 MILLIBARS GUYS…
Hurricane
8 months ago
Well would you look at that! It’s 2025 all right, of course there’s an EPAC storm and an Australian invest.
AND NO ATLANTIC HURRICANES, NOT EVEN TROPICAL SYSTEMS.
F0rce-23/fan
8 months ago
Update 5 on the Atlantic Hurricane Season (HYPOTHETICAL) | System 15L has recently dissipated. Meanwhile, 16L is located at 20°39’48.1″N, 70°25’51.5″W, and it has a current windspeed of 25 miles an hour, a pressure of 1008, and is likely to continue strengthening, with barely any windshear to prevent its formation. It’s path is likely in the direction of northwest.
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
The NHC acknowledges the potential for Erick to be a major hurricane now! Also, is it just me or is an eye beginning to form?
The eye is much more visible now, making me wonder what the NHC is going to place the intensity at for Advisory #8A, which will be issued sometime before 1800Z.
F0rce-23/fan
8 months ago
Update 5 on the Atlantic Hurricane Season (HYPOTHETICAL) | System 15L is beginning to dissipate and is drifting back north towards Europe. With a windspeed of 25 miles an hour, there is high wind shear and a water temperature of 20 degrees Celsius. Another storm system that has been spotted is 5 miles east of the Dominican Republic, system 16L, with a windspeed of 20 miles per hour and a pressure (in millibars) of 1015.
F0rce-23/FAN
8 months ago
Reality: System 15L quickly dissipates | Hypothetical: 15L becomes a strong tropical system, travels northeast towards Canada and somehow makes landfall despite the water temps being below 22 degrees Celsius.
F0rce-23/FAN
8 months ago
My atlantic hurricane season outlook- Storms: Tropical storms: Hurricanes: Major hurricanes: Ace:-1.1902
casualcyclonetrackerguy
8 months ago
Guys… the NHC’s tropical storm-force winds probability over 5 days graphic shows that there’s a small, albeit present chance of Five-E’s winds extending into the Atlantic.
F0rce-23/fan
8 months ago
(HYPOTHETICAL)|Update 4 on the Atlantic Hurricane season | SYstem 15L has begun to intensify, with windspeeds of 35 miles an hour, it is now flowing east, precisely 45 miles east of the Canary Islands, with a pressure of 1008. It is expected to slowly turn north, possibly make landfall in st John, and could become a strong Tropical storm.
So 15L moved from the normal Main Development Region straight to the Moroccan coast and will move north to a misspelled city in Canada, strengthening into a strong storm up there in June. Perfect sense.
My mistake, in this hypothetical track, I meant the canary islands, not Barbados, sorry. Thankfully this isn’t real, because if a meteorologist made the same mistake, a tropical system that is actually in the Canary Islands, and not Barbados would make the people in Barbados be really worried. “Tropical system 15L is currently in I think Barbados, could intensify into a strong tropical storm, possibly 65 miles an hour, will drift north east, it is forecasted to possibly make landfall in St John Canada.” – Random news meteorologist who skipped the job interview
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Let’s look at the seasons where the first Atlantic cyclone developed on or after June 24. Starting with 2002 (July 14), which was a near average season. Then 2004 (July 31) was an extremely destructive, above-average season, 2010 (June 25) and 2011 (June 28) were back-to-back similarly well-above-average seasons, and 2014 was an unusually below-average season. Anything can still happen!
The only reason Andrea was considered a tropical system is because of the convection bursts that it’s been having…
000
WTNT41 KNHC 241411
TCDAT1
Tropical Storm Andrea Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012025
1100 AM AST Tue Jun 24 2025
…
Even though deep convection is now decreasing, due to the persistent convection overnight
and pulsing convection over the past 36 hours, the system has met the criteria of being
classified as a tropical storm, albeit a marginal one, making Tropical Storm Andrea the first
Atlantic storm of the year.
…
!!! ANDREA !!! ANDREA !!! ANDREA !!!
LET’S GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Now that I think about it, Andrea doesn’t look so good on satellite and could dissipate literally any moment now I think.
90L might just be a Tropical Depression…
Invest 90L may not become a tropical/subtropical depression…
I got GameMaker, should I make a tropical cyclone game of some sort with the tool?
Who here has noticed that (most, if not) every Atlantic disturbance marked by the NHC has not been in the MDR, Caribbean, nor Gulf of Mexico/America?
If you want entertainment, watch the current GFS WPAC run. In all ranges, it wants 6 storms!
If the next EPAC disturbance forms before July 1st, it will not only be the earliest F storm, but also will tie the record for most June EPAC storms in a season! (2018 had 6 but the last one was only named on July 1)
what if gil also somehow forms before july 1st- i would probably descend into insanity
Disturbance is 60% now, who knows?
Gil will be the name of the G storm. That disturbance could be the F storm, which is Flossie.
Guys this is bad…
97S has -4 mb. According to F13 right now.
That’s an error. But also, if that were real… what would be the windspeed?
Armageddon Storm Collin speed?
-4 mb means that it is so hot that there is no air per cubic mile.
I HAD 2 DIFFERENT TORNADO WARNINGS TODAY, precisely 9:25 pm, the sirens blaired, though that was the second tornado, or funnel. The first one was at 5:30 pm today.
RECON SAYS 953.8 MILLIBARS GUYS…
Well would you look at that! It’s 2025 all right, of course there’s an EPAC storm and an Australian invest.
AND NO ATLANTIC HURRICANES, NOT EVEN TROPICAL SYSTEMS.
Update 5 on the Atlantic Hurricane Season (HYPOTHETICAL) | System 15L has recently dissipated. Meanwhile, 16L is located at 20°39’48.1″N, 70°25’51.5″W, and it has a current windspeed of 25 miles an hour, a pressure of 1008, and is likely to continue strengthening, with barely any windshear to prevent its formation. It’s path is likely in the direction of northwest.
The NHC acknowledges the potential for Erick to be a major hurricane now! Also, is it just me or is an eye beginning to form?
You aren’t the only one to see an eye forming
The eye is much more visible now, making me wonder what the NHC is going to place the intensity at for Advisory #8A, which will be issued sometime before 1800Z.
Update 5 on the Atlantic Hurricane Season (HYPOTHETICAL) | System 15L is beginning to dissipate and is drifting back north towards Europe. With a windspeed of 25 miles an hour, there is high wind shear and a water temperature of 20 degrees Celsius. Another storm system that has been spotted is 5 miles east of the Dominican Republic, system 16L, with a windspeed of 20 miles per hour and a pressure (in millibars) of 1015.
Reality: System 15L quickly dissipates | Hypothetical: 15L becomes a strong tropical system, travels northeast towards Canada and somehow makes landfall despite the water temps being below 22 degrees Celsius.
My atlantic hurricane season outlook- Storms: Tropical storms: Hurricanes: Major hurricanes: Ace:-1.1902
Guys… the NHC’s tropical storm-force winds probability over 5 days graphic shows that there’s a small, albeit present chance of Five-E’s winds extending into the Atlantic.
(HYPOTHETICAL)|Update 4 on the Atlantic Hurricane season | SYstem 15L has begun to intensify, with windspeeds of 35 miles an hour, it is now flowing east, precisely 45 miles east of the Canary Islands, with a pressure of 1008. It is expected to slowly turn north, possibly make landfall in st John, and could become a strong Tropical storm.
So 15L moved from the normal Main Development Region straight to the Moroccan coast and will move north to a misspelled city in Canada, strengthening into a strong storm up there in June. Perfect sense.
There is a St. John’s in Antigua and Barbuda, but teleporting straight to the Canary Islands doesn’t make sense.
My mistake, in this hypothetical track, I meant the canary islands, not Barbados, sorry. Thankfully this isn’t real, because if a meteorologist made the same mistake, a tropical system that is actually in the Canary Islands, and not Barbados would make the people in Barbados be really worried. “Tropical system 15L is currently in I think Barbados, could intensify into a strong tropical storm, possibly 65 miles an hour, will drift north east, it is forecasted to possibly make landfall in St John Canada.” – Random news meteorologist who skipped the job interview