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As of January 23rd 2026 at 20:01 UTC

Invest 90P was located near 17.6°S, 153.3°E, or about 108 miles (174 km) east of Lihou Reef, Queensland. 90P has maximum sustained winds of 25 knots and a minimum central pressure of 997 millibars.

Sea surface temperatures are around 28.5°C (83.3°F).
 
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casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

So the disturbance does have a potential to form off the Atlantic coast of the US.

Screenshot-2025-07-14-at-10.14.53 AM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

UPDATE
The Atlantic disturbance is now Invest AL93.

Screenshot-2025-07-14-at-11.42.37 AM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Imagine if Dexter is practically Chantal’s cousin.

Screenshot-2025-07-12-at-10.43.05 AM
Hurricane
Hurricane
6 months ago

I feel like it has gone completely under the radar that this, so far, is the least active North Indian Ocean season since 2012 in terms of named storms and depressions, with 0 named storms and 2 official depressions. Every other season since 2012 featured at least one named storm in the early peak.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Chantal is now the third named Atlantic storm within a two-week timeframe.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

THIRD ATLANTIC DEPRESSION

Screenshot-2025-07-04-at-1.33.14 PM
Hurricane
Hurricane
6 months ago

Taiwan gets hit hard according to the GFS 06Z run… like really hard.

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  Hurricane
6 months ago

People’s Republic of China is at war with Taiwan?!

Hurricane
Hurricane
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

No that run predicted Danas to strike twice… once from the south, which it got fairly accurately, but it predicted the storm to turn-around and do it again from the north.

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

Happy 4th of July!!! 🎇 🇺🇸

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

and with this day comes the potential of a new atlantic system forming

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

The atlantic…is still quite inactive.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

ALRIGHT INVEST AL92

Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-9.11.49 PM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Why is there just… this hotspot off the southeast of the Bahamas?

Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-7.26.09 PM
F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Seems edited… is this another photoshop?

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

IT’S NOT ACTUALLY A PHOTOSHOP CHECK THE SST PRODUCTS
https://www.force-13.com/products?type=sst&basin=natl

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

I dont see the hotspot, I knew it was a prank.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

I’m actually not kidding.

ScreenRecording2025-07-07at10.01.04AM-ezgif.com-optimize
F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

That gif(Ji-f) is laggy…must be animated.

Hurricane
Hurricane
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

Are you joking Force23Fan? It’s been on there for days!

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  Hurricane
6 months ago

LIER

natl-3
F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

Wait…wrong photo, that was your edited photo, this is my screenshot

Screenshot-2025-07-10-6.06.45-PM
Hurricane
Hurricane
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

Ehm… exposed

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

You do know there is a file size limit of 2 megabytes, right? I had to convert my MOV video to a GIF with 5 FPS.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Aircraft reconnaissance is scheduled for the Atlantic disturbance now.

Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-10.38.58 AM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

IT LOOKS MORE MAGENTA THAN IT LOOKS RED

Screenshot-2025-07-02-at-4.58.00 PM
Hurricane
Hurricane
6 months ago

NHC says Flossie 115mph winds! Major confirmed.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  Hurricane
6 months ago

If I were in the UTC time zone (which I am not), I would probably be going OMG FLOSSIE BECOMEs A MAJOR HURRICANe AT 3 AM REAL OMG!!11!1111!111!!!!!111!!!1 because it’s 3 AM there.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

The frontal boundary that will potentially be responsible for 03L’s formation is approaching the coast.

Screenshot-2025-07-01-at-4.52.16 PM
Chaban Jad
Chaban Jad
6 months ago

Hurricane Flossie is developing an eye

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

WOAHHHH THEY’RE THE SAME COLOR LOL!!!

Screenshot-2025-06-30-at-8.55.56 PM
Hurricane
Hurricane
6 months ago

Rapid intensification underway for Flossie.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

zoom earth update, disturbance potential formation area colors now match the chance color(s), idk whether it just matches 48 hour or 7 day chance or is the median of the two colors/chances because they pushed the update when the only two nhc disturbances have a low formation chance

oh btw this disturbance coloring only shows up when you are viewing the disturbance

Screenshot-2025-06-30-at-9.39.21 AM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Hey guys, what do you think will be the peak 1-min sustained winds/mean sea-level pressures in the NATL and EPAC basins this year? My predictions are:
Potential NATL Max 1-Min Wind: 160 kt / 190 mph
Potential NATL Min Pressure: 880 mbar / 25.99 inHg
Potential EPAC Max 1-Min Wind: 155 kt / 175 mph
Potential EPAC Min Pressure: 900 mbar / 26.58 inHg

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

Oops, I can’t edit the comment now but 150 kt is 175 mph, not 155 kt.

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

I’ve been seeing this on the GFS runs lol. Especially the 18Z Jun 28 run, where GFS says the pressure will get to 974 millibars.

Screenshot-2025-06-29-at-6.05.43 AM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

For once ICON is forecasting a storm into the somewhat far future. This is forecast hour +180 by the way.

Screenshot-2025-06-29-at-1.29.12 PM
F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
Reply to  casualcyclonetrackerguy
6 months ago

And I will be going to florida by the 15th of august…when was that forecasted?

casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

Didn’t you mean July 15th? Oh also, this was from the 12Z ICON run from yesterday, so F180 would be July 7th.

F0rce-23/FAN
F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

I KNEW IT!!! Remember when I kept bickering all about my predictions of it shifting northwest and slamming into Mexico with 45-mile-per-hour winds?

Screenshot-2025-06-28-8.37.50-PM
casualcyclonetrackerguy
casualcyclonetrackerguy
Reply to  F0rce-23/FAN
6 months ago

You kinda said before that it would have a chance of going into Texas or… Mississippi.

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