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Zachary30466
2 days ago

Tropical Storm Philippe is now Formed at Atlantic Ocean, There are in its Hurricanes:
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harold
Idalia
Jose
Katia
Lee
Margot
Nigel
Ophelia
Philippe

acay
acay
2 days ago

and also why phillipe and invest 90L is on the same frame?

Ryan Knack
Admin
Reply to  acay
6 hours ago

Hello Ryan here, I am responsible in providing the automated storm tracking system (ATCF) to the products on this page. I am still currently experiencing an issue with storm duplication when new named storms are formed, and I’m working on a solution to this.

In the meantime there is still a potential chance that it may arise, and it doesn’t. The most recent being 13W successfully completing the check, but I would need to relook into it.

acay
acay
2 days ago

rate the potential of invest 91W

John
John
3 days ago

Tropical storm Ophelia is at 8:00 Could make landfall as a tropical storm and continue that state until it heads northern more.

acay
acay
3 days ago

this is a bit outdated

Ryan Knack
Admin
Reply to  acay
6 hours ago

For systems under the NHC jurisdiction, NHC may release an advisory (03z, 09z, 15z, 21z) that is more new than the ATCF, which is what this depends on, and will not be updated until the stipulated ATCF update times (00z, 06z, 12z, 18z).

acay
acay
4 days ago

what do u guys expect from these systems?

bringbackcyclonefreddy
bringbackcyclonefreddy
Reply to  acay
4 days ago

From the current systems, id say Kenneth moved north and dies off, Nigel does the same and impacts Greenland as a post tropical cyclone. Sixteen will get the name Ophelia, 90L becomes Philippe and makes some impacts in the Carribean, 90W most likely dies off like the other invests in the west Pacific, 91C dies off, 96E might become short lived Lidia, 96W continues its dying trend, and 98A might become ARB 02, however I’m split on this due to sea surface temps. In the future, I think a system in the Australian region is bound by mid October, and the gulf of Mexico and carribean get hammered by powerful storms along with a not active east Pacific and central Pacific. Also maybe a couple typhoons in the West Pacific.

acay
acay
Reply to  bringbackcyclonefreddy
4 days ago

90L is going to be something significant, wind shear is loosing for 96W and it may tries to regenerate, possibly hurricane opheilia (low chance), dying systems and a “promising” season for the australian region

bringbackcyclonefreddy
bringbackcyclonefreddy
5 days ago

AOI’s are popping up everywhere!

acay
acay
7 days ago

super annular Nigel

acay
acay
8 days ago

what will happen if a cyclone travels into the Persian Gulf? will it go wild or what?

WorldwideCycloneTracking
Reply to  acay
6 days ago

It will dissipate probably when passing by the Strait of Hormuz due to extreme land interaction, but, if somehow manages to reach the Persian gulf, It won’t have much time to strengthen and will be a Tropical Storm maximum even though the gulf has very high sea surface temperatures. This is my thought, so it can be wrong…

acay
acay
Reply to  WorldwideCycloneTracking
4 days ago

what if it’s a major?

WorldwideCycloneTracking
Reply to  acay
1 day ago

Then it will weaken a bit and then intensify in the gulf.

acay
acay
8 days ago

i mentioned the wrong thing, my bad

acay
acay
8 days ago

what will happen if a cyclone gets into the Arabian Sea? will it:

  • a/ go wild
  • b/ die and turns into a sandstorm
  • c/ struggle against the elements ( balanced between a and b)
John
John
Reply to  acay
3 days ago

Probably C.

acay
acay
9 days ago

how often is this updated?

Ryan Knack
Admin
Reply to  acay
8 days ago

Once every 15 minutes using data from https://api.knackwx.com/atcf/v2/users/ 🙂

John
John
10 days ago

And now 97l is expected to strengthen into a category 2 or 3 storm(Nigel).

acay
acay
11 days ago

but seems like LEE is receiving some warmth from the gulf stream

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