A surface low has now started to develop to the west of the Andaman and Nicobar islands in the North Indian Ocean, and could develop into a substantial tropical cyclone as it veers northeast towards the coast of Myanmar later this week. With its exact track and intensity still yet to be determined to a fair degree of accuracy, all points across the coast of Myanmar, Bangladesh, and West Bengal, should closely monitor the progress of the storm as it continues to develop.
Currently, it has a broad influence and developing circulation, with convection firing up close to the center, and could be declared a tropical cyclone later today.
On the other side of the equator, a tropical system has a 40% chance of development well to the west of Indonesia, and is expected to turn away from land relatively soon. Currently the system is struggling, but several computer models back cyclone genesis late this week or over the weekend, out at sea.
Elsewhere, no areas of interest are active at this time.
Watch our full Tropical Weather Bulletin using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fH0gK4Xsdes