Flood Archives - Force Thirteen

Typhoon Bualoi Closes in Towards the Vietnamese Coast

Dino Wun — Sun, 28 Sep 2025 01:29:12 +0000

Typhoon Bualoi is now approaching the Vietnamese coast this morning and the JTWC is closely monitoring the storms path as it is expected to make landfall on the northern Vietnamese coast by Monday 6:00 a.m. ICT, while issuing critical shipping warnings in the area.

Current Information

As of 4:00 a.m. ICT on September 28th, Bualoi was located about 16.2 degrees north and 110.2 degrees East, about 200 km east of Da Nang, Vietnam, moving in the west-northwest direction at 30 km/h.

The latest outlook from the JMA supports maximum sustained winds of 65kt near the center and a central pressure of 975hPa.

NCHMF levels of flash floods and landslides valid 7am ICT.
(Credit: NCHMF)

Current Warnings and Watches

Vietnam’s weather agency is currently issuing a level 4 Disaster Risk Level for the coastal mainland area from Nghe An to the North of Quang Tri, while issuing a level 3 Disaster Risk Level for the western sea area of the North and Central East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone) and the sea area from Thanh Hoa to Quang Ngai by September 28th at 4:00 a.m.

If you live in the affected areas, it is urgently recommended that you monitor additional warnings issued by the Vietnamese weather agency.

NCHMF forecast track map for Typhoon “Bualoi” as of September 28th, 2025 at 4am ICT.
(Credit: NCHMF)

Current Forecast

According to the cone forecast issued by the Vietnamese NCHMF weather agency, Bualoi will make landfall between Đồng Hới, Vietnam, and Vinh, Vietnam tomorrow, on September 29th at 4:00 a.m. ICT.

The storm is then expected to dissipate into a low pressure system over northern Laos by 4:00 p.m. ICT.

Current Hazards

For the latest warning issued by the Vietnam NCHMF, winds generated by Typhoon Bualoi may be slightly stronger in the areas between Đồng Hới and Vinh, which will cause severe damage to the affected areas.

Satellite animation of Typhoon “Bualoi” as it moves towards the Vietnamese coast.
(Credit: Force Thirteen/JMA/Himawari-9)

Additionally, there is a possibility of widespread heavy rain, with total rainfall ranging between 100 and 300 mm from this typhoon, which will likely cause flooding and landslides.

If possible, evacuate when directed by officials, and stay tuned to your local weather service or Force Thirteen for updates.

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Cyclone Dikeledi Makes landfall in Mozambique as a Category 2

Force Thirteen — Mon, 13 Jan 2025 18:51:05 +0000

Overview

Cyclone Dikeledi made landfall in the Nampula province of Mozambique at around 16:00 CAT, today, January 13, 2025 (according to observations from the Force Thirteen team) with a pressure of 975mb and a wind speed of 100mph(160km/h). It is now moving south-south-west and will start to change to a southeasterly direction at 8 AM or so La Reunion time on Tuesday, where it is likely to pass to the south of Madagascar.

Cyclone Dikeledi is forecast to make a southeasterly turn this evening, with the storm likely to stay in the Gulf of Madagascar. However, shower and thundershower activity associated with Dikeledi could produce heavy rainfall across portions of Western Madagascar.

Rainfall Accumulation Estimates

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring around 250mm of rain to areas of the Mozambique coast, whilst showers and thunderstorms associated with the storm could produce up to 350mm in areas of Western Madagascar as the storm moves southeast. As anticipated, the main hazard with the storm is rainfall, which could produce flash floods and mudslides.

Latest rainfall graphic from Force Thirteen, showing potential for 250 to 350mm of rainfall across Madagascar and Mozambique. (Yellow – 250mm, Red – 350mm.)

Stay up to date with the latest from Force Thirteen by visiting our Youtube channel, linked here!

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Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Towards Northern Madagascar

Force Thirteen — Fri, 10 Jan 2025 16:47:45 +0000

Cyclone Dikeledi is currently heading in a westerly direction towards the Northern coast/tip of Madagascar where it will drop 250mm+ of rain as it passes by.

Current Warnings

Météo Madagascar currently has heavy rain, strong wind, and heavy swell warnings in place for areas across the northwestern and northeastern parts of the coast with the heavy swell warning stretching all the way down to the western coast.

Rainfall

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring 10 inches and above to the northern coast of Madagascar and up to 6 inches or so once it reaches the northwestern coast of Mozambique.

Current Hazards:

Cyclone Dikeledi’s main hazards will be rough seas, strong winds, and heavy rainfall over the next couple of days as it continues its path over Madagascar into the Mozambique channel.

Check out our latest full update on Cyclone Dikeledi using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnMmDUT6MJ8

Current Meteo France forecast cone for Cyclone Dikeledi at time of article release.

Current forecast rainfall over portions of Madagascar as Cyclone Dikeledi progresses westward.

The post Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Towards Northern Madagascar appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone Hidaya Nears the Coast of Tanzania – Video Update

Force Thirteen — Fri, 03 May 2024 14:36:48 +0000

Cyclone Hidaya peaked this morning as a strong Category 1 hurricane equivalent storm, and is still holding on to a lot of its strength as it draws nearer to the coast of Tanzania. Whilst it’s still unclear exactly where landfall will occur, it’s looking more likely that it will be near Mafia Island. The storm is expected to rapidly weaken as it reaches land, and some signs of weakening are already becoming apparent. However, strong winds of over 50 miles per hour (80kph) and torrential rainfall with accumulations of up to 12 inches (300mm) are possible, causing structural damage and flash flooding. There remains the possibility, as suggested by Meteo France, that the storm will curve completely away from land, but not before producing storm conditions along coastal areas tonight and tomorrow.

Watch our full update on Cyclone Hidaya using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_QSD8gPLVD8

The post Cyclone Hidaya Nears the Coast of Tanzania – Video Update appeared first on Force Thirteen.

2023 Pacific Typhoon Season Animation Released

Force Thirteen — Sat, 03 Feb 2024 23:49:43 +0000

The 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season was another below-average season, namely the fourth-consecutive season to have a below average number of storms despite the El Niño. Although it still saw many storms dealing a lot of damage to countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, China and more. Within the 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season, notable and well-known storms were Mawar (Betty), Doksuri (Egay), Saola (Goring) and Bolaven. Super Typhoon Doksuri caused devastating damage to affected countries, adding up to $15.5 billion in damages and caused 139 casualties, which made it the deadliest and costliest storm of the season.

Replay all of the storms with our 2023 West Pacific Typhoon Season Animation here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzp_u6Kl3d0

The post 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season Animation Released appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Track of Cyclone Mocha (Video)

Force Thirteen — Tue, 09 Jan 2024 22:44:04 +0000

Cyclone Mocha was a very destructive Category 5 equivalent cyclone in the Bay of Bengal in May of 2023. Mocha made landfall as a Category 4 equivalent just north of Sittwe, Myanmar, causing severe damage. Cyclone Mocha was, in addition, the first Category 5 storm in the North Indian Ocean basin since Cyclone Amphan of May 2020. Watch our full track animation for Cyclone Mocha using the link below!

Watch Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLmXHzft-Q4

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Tropical Storm Kabayan (Jelawat) Forecast to Make Landfall in the Philippines Tonight – Video Update

Force Thirteen — Sun, 17 Dec 2023 17:19:13 +0000

A late season tropical storm is lining up for landfall on the southern Philippines tonight. Tropical storm Jelawat, known locally as tropical storm Kabayan is approaching the coastline as a strengthening storm tonight. Widespread heavy and locally intense rainfall is expected from this storm, with signal one warnings already in place to cover the damaging wind threat. Kabayan will then move into the South China Sea where some intensification is possible.

Watch our latest update on Kabavan (Jelawat) using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rs08prvEt2o&t

The post Tropical Storm Kabayan (Jelawat) Forecast to Make Landfall in the Philippines Tonight – Video Update appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Jamaica on Alert for New Storm – Tropical Weather Bulletin – November 17, 2023

Force Thirteen — Fri, 17 Nov 2023 15:03:04 +0000

A potential tropical cyclone has been designated in the western Caribbean, and Tropical Storm Watches are now in effect for Jamaica, eastern Cuba, Haiti, southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos islands. All of these locations could receive strong winds and heavy rainfall which could exceed 250mm in some areas. As a result, flooding is also a possibility as this short lived fast moving storm powers through the region.

In the Bay of Bengal, a tropical storm is drawing nearer to the coast of West Bengal and Bangladesh, with winds near 45 miles per hour (72kph). The storm is expected to wash ashore near Bhola island in the next 24 hours before rapidly weakening. Some strengthening is likely before landfall.

In the Western Pacific, the remnants of Tropical Depression 17W are still active, and are likely to dump large amounts of rain over the Philippines starting tomorrow. Rainfall amounts in parts of the eastern Visayas and southern Luzon could approach 700mm.

Watch Friday’s Tropical Weather Bulletin using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqGUCfxtHfI

The post Jamaica on Alert for New Storm – Tropical Weather Bulletin – November 17, 2023 appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone Tej Remains Powerful as it Passes Socotra – Video Update – Oct 22, 2023

Force Thirteen — Sun, 22 Oct 2023 13:17:56 +0000

Cyclone Tej rapidly intensified yesterday to reach Category 3 status, and today began an eyewall replacement cycle as it passed close to the island of Socotra. The storm remains a powerful 110mph Category 2 at this time, and is expected to gradually weaken as it approaches the Arabian peninsula. Tej is expected to stall shortly before reaching the coast of Oman and Yemen, and will rapidly weaken and die off as it moves inland over the dry mountainous region. Hurricane force conditions are possible along coastal areas, and exceptional rainfall could amount to in excess of 24 inches (600mm). The storm is expected to shrink near landfall, and the margins are likely to be fine for which areas receive the largest amounts of rainfall.

Watch our full update on Cyclone Tej here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-cSzQ3kzhM

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Live Coverage on Hurricane Lidia Starting at 22z (4pm MDT)

Force Thirteen — Tue, 10 Oct 2023 21:16:29 +0000

Hurricane Lidia poses a major threat to Western Mexico this evening, October 10th, 2023. Hurricane Lidia is currently continuing to rapidly intensify on approach to Jalisco, where the storm could make landfall at borderline Category 4 strength. In addition to major wind threats, rainfall and storm surge also pose major threats, with a conservative rainfall estimate falling between 4 to 8 inches of rainfall. Force Thirteen will be hosting live coverage as the storm begins to make landfall, with coverage starting at 22z (4pm US Mountain Daylight Time) with live analysis, commentary and information. Watch our coverage using the link below!

Watch Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RG1y1QGnTTg

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