Storm Archives - Force Thirteen

Cyclone Dikeledi Makes landfall in Mozambique as a Category 2

Force Thirteen — Mon, 13 Jan 2025 18:51:05 +0000

Overview

Cyclone Dikeledi made landfall in the Nampula province of Mozambique at around 16:00 CAT, today, January 13, 2025 (according to observations from the Force Thirteen team) with a pressure of 975mb and a wind speed of 100mph(160km/h). It is now moving south-south-west and will start to change to a southeasterly direction at 8 AM or so La Reunion time on Tuesday, where it is likely to pass to the south of Madagascar.

Cyclone Dikeledi is forecast to make a southeasterly turn this evening, with the storm likely to stay in the Gulf of Madagascar. However, shower and thundershower activity associated with Dikeledi could produce heavy rainfall across portions of Western Madagascar.

Rainfall Accumulation Estimates

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring around 250mm of rain to areas of the Mozambique coast, whilst showers and thunderstorms associated with the storm could produce up to 350mm in areas of Western Madagascar as the storm moves southeast. As anticipated, the main hazard with the storm is rainfall, which could produce flash floods and mudslides.

Latest rainfall graphic from Force Thirteen, showing potential for 250 to 350mm of rainfall across Madagascar and Mozambique. (Yellow – 250mm, Red – 350mm.)

Stay up to date with the latest from Force Thirteen by visiting our Youtube channel, linked here!

The post Cyclone Dikeledi Makes landfall in Mozambique as a Category 2 appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Towards Northern Madagascar

Force Thirteen — Fri, 10 Jan 2025 16:47:45 +0000

Cyclone Dikeledi is currently heading in a westerly direction towards the Northern coast/tip of Madagascar where it will drop 250mm+ of rain as it passes by.

Current Warnings

Météo Madagascar currently has heavy rain, strong wind, and heavy swell warnings in place for areas across the northwestern and northeastern parts of the coast with the heavy swell warning stretching all the way down to the western coast.

Rainfall

Cyclone Dikeledi can be expected to bring 10 inches and above to the northern coast of Madagascar and up to 6 inches or so once it reaches the northwestern coast of Mozambique.

Current Hazards:

Cyclone Dikeledi’s main hazards will be rough seas, strong winds, and heavy rainfall over the next couple of days as it continues its path over Madagascar into the Mozambique channel.

Check out our latest full update on Cyclone Dikeledi using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnMmDUT6MJ8

Current Meteo France forecast cone for Cyclone Dikeledi at time of article release.

Current forecast rainfall over portions of Madagascar as Cyclone Dikeledi progresses westward.

The post Cyclone Dikeledi Moves Towards Northern Madagascar appeared first on Force Thirteen.

2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Animation Released!

Force Thirteen — Sat, 04 Jan 2025 23:26:36 +0000

After a long, record-breaking, and destructive hurricane season, the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Animation has finally arrived. The 2024 season was the second-costliest tropical cyclone season in history, due in part to extremely powerful damaging storms, like Helene, which became the third-costliest hurricane ever, Milton, one of the strongest hurricanes in the Atlantic basin by both wind speed and barometric pressure. Beryl became both the earliest Category 4 and Category 5 hurricane on record, beating Dennis and Emily of 2005, respectively. Finally, Debby, albeit a much weaker storm in comparison to the previously mentioned storms, became Canada’s costliest tropical cyclone on record as it brought extreme flooding to Quebec during its extratropical phase, beating Fiona of 2022.

Watch our animation of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MM86Ghca5RQ

The post 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Animation Released! appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Major Hurricane Beryl Brushes Through Jamaica, Later Aims for Yucatan Peninsula

Dino Wun — Wed, 03 Jul 2024 17:30:15 +0000

Major Hurricane Beryl brushed through Jamaica’s southern portion today at 1:00 pm EST. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring Beryl’s path near the island of Jamaica and has now issued critical warnings for the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico.

Current Information

Cone forecast for Beryl’s path as of 11 am EST.

As of 18Z on July 3rd, 2024, Beryl was located at 16.8 degrees north, 75.3 degrees west, and was moving west-northwest at approximately 18 mph. The latest outlook from the NHC about Beryl’s stats supported maximum winds of 144 mph and a central pressure of 954 mb.

Current Warnings & Watches

A hurricane warning was recently reissued for the Cayman Islands and Jamaica, indicating that intense hurricane conditions are expected to hit the affected islands. Meanwhile, the NHC issued a hurricane warning for the eastern coasts of the Yucatan peninsula in Mexico while issuing tropical storm watches for the northern portions of the Yucatan peninsula and the southeastern coasts of Belize. Again, if you live in one of the affected areas from Beryl, please monitor additional warnings or watches issued by your national meteorological service within your area.

Current Forecast

As the cone forecast data has shown, as of 11 a.m. EDT today, Beryl will continue to move to the Yucatan peninsula while passing through the southern coasts of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands as a major hurricane for some time. By 8 a.m. EST on Friday, Beryl will land on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, then head into Texas around the following Monday at 8 a.m.

Current Hazards

Graph showing potential rainfall Beryl will make as of 12Z, July 3rd.

Hurricane Beryl is now spreading windy tropical conditions to Jamaica and is also expected to bring rainfall of 4 to 8 inches there, making outside preparations dangerous or difficult. Meanwhile, a life-threatening storm surge will rise by up to 2 or 4 feet above sea levels in areas of the Cayman Islands, followed by 3 to 5 feet on the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula. Preparations should be rushed to complete as Beryl will land on the Yucatan Peninsula and the Cayman Islands tomorrow night or Friday morning. Evacuate when directed by officials, and stay tuned to your national meteorological service or Force Thirteen for updates. You can also check out Hurricane Beryl’s most recent live tracking here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEwPe2RPxVk.

The post Major Hurricane Beryl Brushes Through Jamaica, Later Aims for Yucatan Peninsula appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Major Hurricane Beryl Forecasted to Aim for Jamaica Later

Dino Wun — Wed, 03 Jul 2024 03:55:42 +0000

Major Hurricane Beryl is predicted to hit the southern portion of Jamaica tomorrow at 18Z. As a Category 4 Storm, it poses a grave threat. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring Beryl’s path and has issued dire warnings for the island, highlighting this powerful storm’s potentially catastrophic impact.

Current Information

Cone forecast for Beryl’s path as of 11 pm EST.

As of 18Z on July 2nd, 2024, Beryl was located at 16.2 degrees north, 72.7 degrees west, and was moving west-northwest at a rapid 22 mph. The latest outlook about Beryl’s stats supported maximum winds of 150 mph and a central pressure of 947 mb.

Current Warnings and Watches

Recently, a Hurricane warning was issued for the Cayman Islands and Jamaica, indicating that intense hurricane conditions are expected to hit the affected islands. Meanwhile, a tropical storm warning was issued for Martinique, meaning that tropical storm conditions, including strong winds and heavy rain, are expected within 36 hours. Lastly, a tropical storm and a hurricane watch have been issued on the southern and western coasts of Haiti, Mexico, and Belize. If you live in one of the affected areas from Beryl, please monitor additional warnings or watches issued by your national meteorological service.

Current Forecast

As the cone forecast data has shown for the last few hours, Beryl will continue to move into Jamaica as a major hurricane. By 8 pm EST, Beryl will move inwards to the island of Jamaica, then move into the southern peninsula of Mexico on July 5th at 8 am EST, and then head into Texas around next Sunday at 8 pm.

Current Hazards

Graph showing potential rainfall Beryl will make as of 12Z.

Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce heavy rainfall of approximately 4 to 8 inches and bring out strong winds. It will move inland to Jamaica tomorrow, making outside preparations dangerous or difficult. Meanwhile, a life-threatening storm surge will rise by up to 2 or 4 feet above sea levels in areas of the Cayman Islands, followed by 3 to 5 feet on the east coast of the Yucatan peninsula and 6 to 9 feet on the southern coasts of Jamaica. Preparations should be rushed to be completed as Beryl will land in Jamaica tomorrow. Evacuate when directed by officials, and stay tuned to your national meteorological service or Force Thirteen for updates.

The post Major Hurricane Beryl Forecasted to Aim for Jamaica Later appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone Hidaya Nears the Coast of Tanzania – Video Update

Force Thirteen — Fri, 03 May 2024 14:36:48 +0000

Cyclone Hidaya peaked this morning as a strong Category 1 hurricane equivalent storm, and is still holding on to a lot of its strength as it draws nearer to the coast of Tanzania. Whilst it’s still unclear exactly where landfall will occur, it’s looking more likely that it will be near Mafia Island. The storm is expected to rapidly weaken as it reaches land, and some signs of weakening are already becoming apparent. However, strong winds of over 50 miles per hour (80kph) and torrential rainfall with accumulations of up to 12 inches (300mm) are possible, causing structural damage and flash flooding. There remains the possibility, as suggested by Meteo France, that the storm will curve completely away from land, but not before producing storm conditions along coastal areas tonight and tomorrow.

Watch our full update on Cyclone Hidaya using this link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_QSD8gPLVD8

The post Cyclone Hidaya Nears the Coast of Tanzania – Video Update appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone threat increasing for Madagascar and Mauritius

Force Thirteen — Mon, 25 Mar 2024 13:20:13 +0000

A tropical disturbance continues to build up off the coast of northern Madagascar, and is expected to ramp up in intensity later this week. The system is already producing large amounts of rain, and that is set to continue as the storm deepens. Forecasts call for potentially a Category 3 peak as it moves very slowly near Madagascar, before making for the Mascarene islands near the end of the week and swiping Mauritius and Réunion. Whilst confidence in the forecast is increasing, there is still a fair amount of wriggle room, especially with regards to timing, and some model scenarios still put the storm over or even to the west of Madagascar. Suffice to say, rapid intensification is likely to occur at some point, and a recurvature to the southeast is also likely later on. This is likely to put the Mascarene islands at risk of strong cyclonic winds and high rainfall.

Watch our full update on this system here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-vnejoyA4w

The post Cyclone threat increasing for Madagascar and Mauritius appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Cyclone Eleanor Forecast to Rapidly Intensify as it Approaches Mauritius (Video Update)

Force Thirteen — Tue, 20 Feb 2024 18:42:17 +0000

Cyclone Eleanor is posed to threaten Mauritius this week, as the storm expected to intensify as it nears the island nation later this week. Eleanor will likely make a close pass to Mauritius. Catch the latest on Cyclone Eleanor with a video update from our team here:

Watch Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XYR9ynD6CU

The post Cyclone Eleanor Forecast to Rapidly Intensify as it Approaches Mauritius (Video Update) appeared first on Force Thirteen.

2023 Pacific Typhoon Season Animation Released

Force Thirteen — Sat, 03 Feb 2024 23:49:43 +0000

The 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season was another below-average season, namely the fourth-consecutive season to have a below average number of storms despite the El Niño. Although it still saw many storms dealing a lot of damage to countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, China and more. Within the 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season, notable and well-known storms were Mawar (Betty), Doksuri (Egay), Saola (Goring) and Bolaven. Super Typhoon Doksuri caused devastating damage to affected countries, adding up to $15.5 billion in damages and caused 139 casualties, which made it the deadliest and costliest storm of the season.

Replay all of the storms with our 2023 West Pacific Typhoon Season Animation here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzp_u6Kl3d0

The post 2023 Pacific Typhoon Season Animation Released appeared first on Force Thirteen.

Watch Live Coverage of Cyclone Belal on our Youtube Page!

Force Thirteen — Sun, 14 Jan 2024 16:58:11 +0000

Cyclone Belal continues to intensify, and is now a Category 2 on the Saffir Simpson Scale as it draws closer to the island of Réunion in the southwest Indian Ocean. The storm is developing a decent eye and winds are now near 100 miles per hour (160kph), and these winds may affect the islands especially on Monday. Rainfall amounts are also expected to become serious, with up to 500mm possible on the island of Réunion. Later on in the forecast, the track of Belal will become more uncertain, with the potential for the storm to stall completely or even turn back towards the islands.

Force Thirteen is live and covering Belal on our Youtube page at release of this post. Watch our coverage here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1quCNPSseQ

The post Watch Live Coverage of Cyclone Belal on our Youtube Page! appeared first on Force Thirteen.