Tropical Storm Eloise A Massive Threat to Mozambique
![Tropical Storm Eloise A Massive Threat to Mozambique<strong class=](https://www.force-13.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/EsPMP3qUcAA-q0c-1-1.png)
Tropical Storm Eloise is located 457 km northwest of Antananarivo, Madagascar, and has tracked west-southwestward at 31 km/h (17 knots) over the past 6 hours. Infrared satellite imagery shows persistent, deep convection wrapping into an obscured low level circulation center that has reemerged over water. These favorable conditions are expected to continue in 2 days and result in a peak intensity of 165 km/h by this time. The system will continue to track along the steering subtropical ridge and make landfall near Beira, Mozambique in the next 2 to 3 days, with further intensification likely to occur prior to landfall.
![](https://www.force-13.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/2021sh12_diagplot_202101210600-300x225.png)
Thereafter, the system will begin to dissipate over land due to increasing wind shear and interaction with the underlying terrain and complete dissipation over land in 4 days. Forecast models are in tight agreement with 173 nautical miles spread in across track solutions at landfall.
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