• STORM FLOATER •
TROPICAL STORM 09E (ELIDA)
***FINAL BULLETIN***
PUBLIC ADVISORY #8
FORCE THIRTEEN SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE
1450 UTC WED AUG 12 2020

...ELIDA DOWN TO A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------
LOCATION...NEAR 23.5 N 118.7  W...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65MPH...105KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995MB

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
-----------------------------------
NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION
-----------------------------------
Elida's remaining deep convection, located northeast of the center 
of circulation, continues to shrink in coverage and wane in 
intensity now that the cyclone is over waters of 23-24 degrees 
Celsius.  Dvorak Current Intensity numbers are 55-65 kt from TAFB 
and SAB, while objective estimates from UW-CIMSS are much lower.  
Elida has weakened to a tropical storm, and the initial intensity is 
set at 55 kt as a blend of the estimates.  With even colder waters 
ahead and a steady increase in southwesterly shear, Elida is 
expected to weaken quickly and likely lose its deep convection 
within the next 24 hours, making it a remnant low by this time 
tomorrow.  Global model fields indicate that the remnant low will 
dissipate in 2-3 days.
• RAMMB Multi-Model Diagnostic Comparison •
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN, NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED.

$$
Forecaster Knack
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •
• NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST •

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