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PAGASA: Pre-Henry is expected to form within the next 24 hours.
WPac Outlook: Pre-Bavi/Maysak (Estimates Super Typhoon)
Focus has recently been shifted towards tropical storm Higos, recently exited PAR. Mekkhala still going strong i guess
Now is VST Tomorrow is VT
Mekkhala start weakened phases, means that has no chance to develop into VT Violent Typhoon.
Maybe JMA post analysis will upward the winds and pressures…
Breaking: ATCF data shows Mekkhala has strenghen to typhoon. (0600 UTC 65 kts/120 km/h/75 mph, 988 hPa/mbar)
Mekkala beginning to form an eye it seems.
07W has now been named Mekkhala! I expect this storm to be quite strong.
We have another disturbance off the Carolina coast. Will it become Bertha?
Which Arthur looked worse, 2020 or 2026?
Obviously, the 2026 Arthur, because it faced moderate to strong wind shear and had limited time to develop.
Do you think 2026 will be like 2020 where nearly every invest becomes a named storm? Arthur formed from what was 0%
First named storm in Atlantic: Arthur
This year’s Atlantic season began about a week earlier than last year.
Tropical Storm Arthur has formed!!!
PTC One here in Atlantic (NHC) initiated advisories at 1500UTC).
NHC Atlantic:
Formation chance through 2 days: MEDIUM (60%)
Formation chance through a week: MEDIUM (60%)
The first short-lived tropical storm in Atlantic estimated form today, and has been impact in whole Eastern Mexico (1/2)
, also will impact the Deep South in US at night or tomorrow. NHC will issues the Tropical Storm Warning if needed (2/2)
First disturbance in the Atlantic! It only has a 10% chance, but certainly something to watch.
Can’t believe that we actually got Arthur from this…