Tropical Storm Enrique » Text Products



YOUR SURNAME: Knack
YOUR CITY: Singapore
YOUR STATE: Singapore
TIME (e.g. 1800 UTC SAT FEB 22 2020): 1530 UTC TUE JUN 29 2021
ADVISORY HEADLINE: ENRIQUE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR


INPUT INTERP ATCF: ep052021 ENRIQUE 20210629 1515 22.52 -107.61 E TS 35.0 999.0 6.57 330.68
ADVISORY NUMBER: 12


NEXT ADVISORY TIME (e.g. SEP 16 2021, 1800 UTC)

Please allow time for floater to build.

• STORM FLOATER •

  E ()
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

    
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SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR    ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
    
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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...TROPICAL STORM WATCH...
*CABO SAN LUCAS TO LOS BARRILES



DISCUSSION
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Enrique remains devoid of any deep convection near its center this 
morning. The system appears to have entrained drier, more stable air 
into its core, which has suppressed all thunderstorm activity. 
Overnight scatterometer data revealed winds to 40 kt in the eastern 
semicircle, but the system has likely weakened since then given its 
lack of convection. The initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt with 
this advisory, which is consistent with an objective SATCON estimate 
and TAFB subjective Dvorak classification.

Enrique remains in an environment with fairly low oceanic heat 
content and some drier mid-level air, and all the reliable intensity 
models suggest the cyclone will continue weakening. Therefore, the 
NHC intensity forecast shows Enrique becoming a tropical depression 
by tomorrow. However, if the system fails to generate any organized 
convection near its center soon, it could degenerate into a 
post-tropical remnant low later today or tonight.   
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
    

    
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Forecaster 
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •
• NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST •

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