Tropical Storm Lala was located near 37.3°N, 178.8°W, or about 634 miles (1020 km) north of Midway Atoll. Lala has maximum sustained winds of 40 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1000 millibars.
Tropical Storm Dolly was located near 13.6°N, 39.6°W, or about 1000 miles (1610 km) west of Mindelo, Cabo Verde. Dolly has maximum sustained winds of 35 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1007 millibars.
Tropical Storm Karina was located near 10.7°N, 111.4°W, or about 560 miles (902 km) south of Socorro Island, Mexico. Karina has maximum sustained winds of 40 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1001 millibars.
Typhoon Saudel was located near 28.1°N, 122.6°E, or about 221 miles (356 km) north-northeast of Taipei City, Taiwan. Saudel has maximum sustained winds of 70 knots and a minimum central pressure of 968 millibars.
Tropical Storm 20W was located near 17.5°N, 164.1°E, or about 208 miles (334 km) southwest of Wake Island. 20W has maximum sustained winds of 55 knots and a minimum central pressure of 990 millibars.
Tropical Storm Etau was located near 23.1°N, 167.8°E, or about 274 miles (441 km) north-northeast of Wake Island. Etau has maximum sustained winds of 45 knots and a minimum central pressure of 995 millibars.
Invest 94E was located near 11.3°N, 134.4°W, or about 1400 miles (2253 km) west-southwest of Clarion Island, Mexico. 94E has maximum sustained winds of 30 knots and a minimum central pressure of 1007 millibars.
i do believe that basins in both hemispheres can support at least a tropical cyclone, the water there is still decent. it’s just lacking a spark to ignite the whole thing… anyone agrees with me? it’s like.. the soil is fertile but there’s no seeds, saplings,…
we will be having another haiyan if there’s more time for jelawat to intensify, luckily it’s boutta make landfall soon and such things like that won’ t happen
JTWC is conducting a scheduled power outage and has transferred services to FWC-N and FWC-SD, estimated restoral 17 DECEMBER 2023, 2200 UTC
ATCF products, including the one used by this site (through https://www.knackwx.com), will not work properly. I am reporting this in advance for potential outdated data as there are no longer any other available data streams. I will do my best to provide updated data during this outage.
Moving forward, prototype plans have been drafted for these types of issues not covered.
jasper will feed off the juicy sweet boiling waters in the gulf, which is worrisome. also, it’s looking good despite traversing over land (idk why, any explanations?)
Wind shear is defined as a change of windspeed (and direction) in different atmospheric layers.
You want a uniform stream of air coming from one place (called steering wind flow) across the entire atmosphere that can push a storm in one direction. In this case from the southeast (Southern Hemisphere) or northeast (Northern Hemisphere) to push it towards the equator.
Force13Fanatic
2 years ago
91W will do the Fujiwara effect with Cyclone Jasper.
Cookies help us ensure our site works securely, continually make improvements, and personalize your browsing experience.
Click 'Accept All Cookies' to get the best browsing experience. You can change these settings at any time by clicking 'Manage My Cookies' below.
Functional
Always active
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
Preferences
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
Statistics
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
Marketing
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
View more imageryAnimated GIF
Did 91W become Jelawat?
dead
Guys: How many storm names do you think will be retired this year?
Idalia, Otis
The names Idalia, Lidia, and Otis will be retired. I do not know about Lidia, but the other two will be retired.
Dora probably.
Why?
i do believe that basins in both hemispheres can support at least a tropical cyclone, the water there is still decent. it’s just lacking a spark to ignite the whole thing… anyone agrees with me? it’s like.. the soil is fertile but there’s no seeds, saplings,…
This partly explains why WPAC is so quiet this winter.
yeah I see
we will be having another haiyan if there’s more time for jelawat to intensify, luckily it’s boutta make landfall soon and such things like that won’ t happen
JMA Has named 91W into Jelawat and is now a TS.
ATCF products, including the one used by this site (through https://www.knackwx.com), will not work properly. I am reporting this in advance for potential outdated data as there are no longer any other available data streams. I will do my best to provide updated data during this outage.
Moving forward, prototype plans have been drafted for these types of issues not covered.
How’d u get the big text?
JMA TD Track https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#6/8.994/130.078/&elem=root&typhoon=all&contents=typhoon&lang=en
91W is apparently a TD to JMA
jasper is now just a mess of thunderstorms
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=aus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2023121406&fh=6
jasper will feed off the juicy sweet boiling waters in the gulf, which is worrisome. also, it’s looking good despite traversing over land (idk why, any explanations?)
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=aus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2023121306&fh=6
it can’t be…
Remember that GFS originally expected Ilsa to peak as a 882-mb cyclone.
GFS is rlly trusty, but we must be aware that they aren’t 100% correct, especially in the longer range
WHAT
look at this: GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for Australia | Tropical Tidbits check out frame +312! it peaks at 917 hpa but it is very uncertain yet to make any decisions
I think this cyclone will get a 2nd life and probably be stronger.
can wind shear pushes tropical cyclones equator-ward? if the cyclone does reach the equator, what will happen?
yes maybe, but the storm will quickly weaken and dissipate
Wind shear is defined as a change of windspeed (and direction) in different atmospheric layers.
You want a uniform stream of air coming from one place (called steering wind flow) across the entire atmosphere that can push a storm in one direction. In this case from the southeast (Southern Hemisphere) or northeast (Northern Hemisphere) to push it towards the equator.
91W will do the Fujiwara effect with Cyclone Jasper.
no
It seems that 91W is on a consolidating trend.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=aus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2023121106&fh=6
jasper will be fueling further destruction (by creating more instability), or will it be having it’s second life? only the time will tell us….
92P isn’t likely to develop
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=aus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2023121006&fh=6
be sure to check it out, that model run will be something to watch out, which is worrrisome