YOUR SURNAME: knack
YOUR CITY: singapore
YOUR STATE: singapore
TIME (e.g. 1800 UTC SAT FEB 22 2020): 0920 UTC SAT APR 10 2021
ADVISORY HEADLINE: ODETTE TO MERGE WITH SEROJA AS IT COMPLETES ITS 3 DAY COURSE OF DANCING


INPUT INTERP ATCF: sh272021 ODETTE 20210410 0900 -22.3 112.6 S TD 30.0 1000.0 20.81 209.03
ADVISORY NUMBER: 8


NEXT ADVISORY TIME (e.g. SEP 16 2021, 1800 UTC)

Please allow time for floater to build.

• STORM FLOATER •

   ()
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

    
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SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR    ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
    
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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DISCUSSION
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Ex-Tropical Cyclone Odette is weakening although the previously exposed low
level centre is now obscured by a flare up of deep convection in the past few
hours. 

Scatterometry [ASCAT and HY2B at 2030UTC] shows only a small area of gales east
of the centre only consistent with model guidance as the  accelerates to the
south today as it orbits the larger and stronger Seroja to the southwest. 

Intensity set at 35kn biased towards the scatterometry evidence and consistent
with these other inputs. Dvorak analysis: FT/CI=2.5 based , although recent
convection near the centre has boosted DT to be 2.5 by applying shear pattern
towards MET on a slight weakening 24h trend. ADT in the 2.8 [NESDIS] to 2.9
[CIMSS] range; no recent SATCON update. 

Strong wind shear has been the dominant weakening mechanism although the shear
has now eased to 15kn and renewed convection is evident near the centre, albeit
without organisation. Odette is not likely to recover although the rapid
translation speed will assist the maintenance of gales on the eastern side with
model guidance suggesting a further 06-12 hours east of the centre prior to
dissipating. Model guidance is consistent steering Odette around Seroja taking a
turn to the south-southwest later today.
LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
Bureau of Meteorology
    

    
$$
Forecaster 
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •

• BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST •

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