TROPICAL STORM 05E (CRISTINA)
***FINAL BULLETIN***
PUBLIC ADVISORY #13
FORCE THIRTEEN SINGAPORE, SINGAPORE
1500 UTC SUN JUL 12 2020
...CRISTINA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON...
SUMMARY OF 1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR 20.7 N 124.4 W...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40MPH...60KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005MB
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION
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Cristina's convective pattern continues to rapidly erode with only a small patch of moderate convection remaining in the northeastern quadrant. Based on overnight scatterometer winds of 39 kt and the significant decrease in convection since that time, it is assumed that additional vortex spindown has occurred over 23 deg C water, and the initial intensity is therefore decreased to 35 kt Cristina should continue to spin down as the cyclone moves over near 22 deg C SSTs, becoming a remnant low in about 24 hours. It is possible that Cristina could degenerate into an open wave sooner than currently forecast due to the abundance of dry, stable air that the cyclone will be ingesting.
• RAMMB Multi-Model Diagnostic Comparison •LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOWNational Hurricane Center (East Pacific)THIS IS THE LAST REGULARLY SCHEDULED BULLETIN, NO MORE BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED.
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Forecaster Knack
• OFFICIAL JTWC FORECAST •• NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST •
• NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST •
