735. Tropical Storm Joshua » Text Products

May 18th, 2021 at 07:12 AM

   (JOSHUA)
PUBLIC ADVISORY #
FORCE THIRTEEN , 

    
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SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
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LOCATION...NEAR    ...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...MPH...KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...MB
    
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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NO WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION
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After an overnight period that saw deep convection weaken and an exposed LLC
emerge, Joshua has redeveloped a pulse of convection and banding close to the
LLC. 

Intensity has been held at 40 knots based on Dvorak. Scat passes continue to
miss the system though SATCON is steady at 40 knos. Dvorak FT estimated at 3.0
[3h curved band 0.7 wrap] with CI held at 3.0. 

While shear is low easterly, SSTs are only marginal at around 27C and there is
limited low-level inflow and moisture feed from the north - factors that may
account for the lack of development. 

Latest model guidance confines the area of gales largely to southern quadrants
before weakening after 24-36 hours.
 
A general west southwest track is expected to persist and the system has now
passed out of the Australian region. Further information will be available from
Meteo France La Reunion RSMC.

LOCAL AND OFFICIAL SOURCES BELOW
Bureau of Meteorology
    
NEXT FULL ADVISORY AT .
    
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Forecaster